Scotland's Economic and Fiscal Forecasts

Our report, Scotland's Economic and Fiscal Forecasts May 2019,was published on 30 May 2019 setting out our five-year forecasts of the Scottish economy, tax receipts, social security expenditure and an assessment of whether the Scottish Government’s projections of borrowing are reasonable.

The Scottish Fiscal Commission's main forecast publication Scotland's Economic and Fiscal Forecasts December 2018  informs the Scottish Budget for 2019-20. It contains our economy, tax and social security forecasts for the next five years, and our assessment of the Scottish Government’s borrowing projections. It’s accompanied by a number of spreadsheets containing our supporting charts and tables.

Our report, Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts, was published on 31 May 2018.  It sets out our five-year forecasts of the Scottish economy, tax receipts, social security expenditure and an assessment of whether the Scottish Government’s projections of borrowing are reasonable.

Our report, Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts, sets out our forecasts for the economy, tax receipts and social security expenditure over a five-year horizon. Our December 2017 forecasts inform the Scottish Draft Budget for 2018-19. Two supplementary reports have been published, a report to accompany the Budget Bill and updated income tax forecasts to reflect changes in Government policy.