Our 2018 Forecast Evaluation Report evaluates how our previous forecasts compare to actual outcomes, according to outturn data.
In our first annual Statement of Data Needs, we outline the data we require to create our forecasts, which organisations we rely on for data provision, and highlight areas for improvement.
This paper sets out the Scottish Fiscal Commission’s current approach to forecasting VAT assigned to Scotland.
Setting out our five-year forecasts of the Scottish economy, tax receipts, social security expenditure and an assessment of whether the Scottish Government’s projections of borrowing are reasonable.
Costing to accompany the Scottish Government’s secondary legislation for proposed changes to Non-Residential Land and Buildings Transaction Tax Group Relief.
This paper explains how the Commission estimates and forecasts potential output and its components such as employment and productivity.