Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts
31 May 2018
Our report, Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts, was published on 31 May 2018 setting out our five-year forecasts of the Scottish economy, tax receipts, social security expenditure and an assessment of whether the Scottish Government’s projections of borrowing are reasonable.
The summary of our report sets out the forecasts produced and the main assumptions and judgements that underpin them. We have also produced an infographic of our main forecasts.
Economy forecasts (% growth unless otherwise stated)
Tax forecasts (£ million)
|Scottish Landfill Tax||148||142||114||88|
Social Security forecasts (£ million)
|Carer’s Allowance (inc. Supplement)||11,267||11,467||11,969||14,547|
|Discretionary Housing Payments||50||60||61||69|
|Scottish Welfare Fund||33||33||33||33|