Occasional Papers

This occasional paper sets out the Commission’s approach to setting policy baselines, and includes a conclusion on the consultation on how to set policy baselines we launched in May 2023.

This report sets out our approach to forecasting fully devolved taxes: Non-Domestic Rates, Land and Buildings Transaction Tax and Scottish Landfill Tax. It also sets out how we produce our illustrative forecasts for Air Passenger Duty and Aggregates Levy.

This report sets out our approach to forecasting Scottish GDP and the other economic determinants which feed into our fiscal forecasts. It also describes the main features of the Commission’s new in-house macroeconomic forecasting model.

This report describes how funding for the Scottish Budget is determined. Each chapter explores a different component of funding and how our forecasts fit into the Scottish Budget.